 |
| Ralf
Seiffe writes of the need for the taxpayers of Illinois to enlist
rock/activist Bono (pictured) to help with debt forgiveness in
the Land of Lincoln as has on behalf of Third World countries. |
SEIFFE: Sovereign
Solvency
Thursday, April 21, 2005
By Ralf Seiffe
OPINION - One of the lasting
impressions from House Speaker Mike Madigan’s (D-Chicago) road shows on
state finances is how precarious they are, no doubt the desired effect.
The meeting I attended managed to
create a record showing that nearly every witness was in favor of a massive
tax increase. This outcome is so counter-intuitive that one must conclude
the architects of the pre-war Soviet show trials must have found work as
impresarios for the Speaker.
The audience hand-out disclosed the
odious facts about state debt, particularly the unfunded pension liabilities
our legislators have accumulated over the years.
This debt is so large that the good
citizens of Illinois will spend more than $240 billion over the next 40
years to pay off just 90% of these obligations. Just think, if your career
starts today, you will spend your entire working life paying off the
pensions of teachers and other public sector workers.
What these hand-outs didn’t reveal
is the state’s retirement system is rigged so that these “public
servants” will retire 10-15 years earlier than private sector employees.
During this advantage, they will
likely collect more than the average, privately-funded retirement plan will
pay in its entirety without even considering present values. If the public
employee double dips in a new state job, it’s even more appalling.
One wonders if future taxpayers will
put up with this. Will Illinois taxpayers, some now looking over their first
tricycle, be content to put off those purchases in order to pay off debts to
long dead teachers?
Apparently Illinois politicians have
discovered this problem. They have proposed a massive tax increase to pay
for these past financial sins and disguised their plan as a “tax swap”.
They tell us in exchange for sending
more money to Springfield, they will send checks to local property tax
authorities for our benefit.
This promise is not credible given the
scale of debt they already owe. The promise of property tax relief will soon
be forgotten as the teachers, professors and other retirees demand these new
state revenues fund their retirement benefits and the state legislators cave
into their masters from AFSME and the teachers’ unions.
Raising income taxes is a bad idea
because Illinois is already a high tax state by any honest measure. In
addition to specific, measurable taxes, we suffer another unmeasured,
political burden of regulation, corruption and a systematic legal tyranny
that makes government more expensive here.
The combination of taxes and the
imperial attitude of politicians means that whatever the level of economic
taxation, political equilibrium is just a few percentage points higher than
the taxes collected. Taxpayers will never provide enough for the public
sector because they will always seek and spend more than 100% of available
resources.
This perfectly historical and
predictable behavior means passing the tax increase will hydraulically
increase the absolute level of overspending. Using tricks like chiseling
doctors and hospitals, delaying payables, mandating tasks to inferior
jurisdictions and continuing to promise future benefits without funding
them, state debt will continue to mount.
If overspending is $300 when the
average family’s tax burden is $3,000, then, by increasing the tax burden
to $5,000, as the current proposals would do, politicians’ tolerance for
overspending will plainly increase to $500. We simply dig a deeper hole,
faster.
Profligate spending and delayed
payments combined with the sort of accounting tricks the state uses normally
signals an impending bankruptcy.
If this were a private company, the
creditors would have forced reorganization long ago; contracts would have
been voided and pensions adjusted to give the state some breathing room.
The rules for this are contained in
Title 11, the federal Bankruptcy Code, but there is no chapter for
reorganizing a state. We are caught by rising expectations in the public
sector and no real hope of controlling spending.
What we need is Bono. The former
leader of an Irish rock band has the glitterati and the left all excited
about debt forgiveness. In the salons of Manhattan and Geneva, he’s
advising banks to give up their claims on sovereign debtors for the good of
those countries. His transformation into an international debt reduction
advocate has given him the status of David Rockefeller, a genuine
international banker and the notoriety of George Soros, a genuine currency
and political manipulator.
Bono tells us that the people in the
debtor countries should not suffer for the financial sins of their fathers
and grandfathers.
That sounds like a good, humane idea
and one worth applying in Illinois. Just think what good Bono could do
persuading those left wing-teachers and professors who support debt
forgiveness in the third world that the same prescription is good for them,
here.
Applying the same logic to Illinois’
major creditors, its public employees, we could eliminate a significant
portion of the state’s debt on the basis that these agreements were made
long ago and the current population should not have to suffer from past bad
management of the state’s finances.
Bono’s unlikely to appear and it’s
just as doubtful that the public pensioners would take his common-sense
advice anyway. Nevertheless, the State of Illinois has more debt owing to
those folks than it can stand. Any increase in revenues will go to pay
pensions, not for property tax relief.
Clever politicians like to say
Illinois taxpayers have failed to properly fund education. This is as wrong
as it is deceitful.
Illinois taxpayers have massively
funded the teacher’s monopoly and their local and state enablers.
No, it’s not that we haven’t
provided, it’s the stewards we’ve chosen haven’t performed.
© 2005 IllinoisLeader.com -- all
rights reserved
Ralf Seiffe advises
business start-ups and product launches from Chicago, Illinois and is a
political analyst and columnist for the Illinois Leader.
|