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| Scott Bludorn is
running for Illinois House in the 53rd district representing the Libertarian
Party. |
SEIFFE: A Shot Across
the Bow
Thursday, June 24, 2004
By Ralf Seiffe
Americans are right to think of our
political environment as a two-party system. Over the years however, third,
forth and even fifth parties have participated in nearly every U.S.
presidential election since the Tertium Quids Party (literally the “Third
Thing”) materialized to challenge Thomas Jefferson’s run for a second
term.
Typically, alternative political
parties blossom when voters come to think that the dominant political
organizations are ignoring important issues or that they are not capable of
solving them. That’s often the case with political parties so there have
been many of these offshoots, both inspiring and preposterous.
Third parties ranged from the Green
and Greenback parties; the Free Soil and Anti-renter parties, a smorgasbord
of Socialist and Communist parties and even the Prohibition Party. The
gravity of their ideas and candidates arrays from mass-less to serious;
Lyndon LaRouche of the U.S. Labor Party ran one of his eight campaigns from
a jail cell while Teddy Roosevelt served nearly two terms as president
before running as a Bull Moose.
Only one third party candidate has
ever actually won the presidency but their presence is a force that
confounds the established parties more often than not. That’s because
third parties create two major electoral results and are often responsible
for unintended policy outcomes.
The most evident third party effect is
to change the results of close elections even if they generate few votes
themselves. Ralph Nader’s appearance on the 2000 Florida ballot didn’t
attract many votes for the Green Party but Democrats blame him for George
Bush’s victory. Mr. Nader may be a factor again in 2004.
Third parties also move the Electoral
College to give pluralities the appearance of landslides. In 1912, Teddy
Roosevelt and Republican incumbent William Howard Taft split 7.6 million
votes or 55% of the popular vote while Wilson won only 45 percent or 6.3
million votes. Even though Wilson wasn’t able to win a majority of the
popular vote, the Electoral College served its purpose by magnifying Wilson’s
victory, awarding him 435 or 82 percent of real votes for president.
The other electoral effect third
parties engender is a consequence of the first. By changing election
results, even though they do not win, third parties are dangerous to the
dominant political parties’ electoral prospects. To avoid losing voters to
the insurgent parties, established political organizations tend to subsume
the upstart’s platforms and thereby sabotage the reason for the new party’s
existence.
This allows the followers of the new
party to “return” to the fold, and when they do, they have new-found
influence and this can lead to rapid change in the political landscape. In
this way, third parties act as the “farm team” for ideas or politicians
who may not be ready for major office but who will develop appeal as they
mature.
Third parties also create unintended
policy outcomes. This can happen when a third party splits with one of the
dominant parties then fails to win because it often drives the politicians
in the jilted party to adopt a position opposite of that the third party
advocates.
In 1948, the segregationists left the
Democrat party and lost; Harry Truman carried the south anyway and decided
that civil rights was a winning issue for Democrats---exactly the opposite
of what the Dixiecrats wanted.
In 1992, Ross Perot campaigned against
NAFTA but lost; Bill Clinton then bucked the protectionist wing of his own
party and became a tireless advocate for free trade. In 2000, Ralph Nader
tried to move the party left and his interference ensured George Bush’s
victory.
Instead of the muddled, one world
thinking both Nader and Gore stand for, we now enjoy the protection of the
Bush doctrine of preemption, probably not Nader’s nor the Green’s
preference.
Given these dangers, the dominant
parties caution that voting for a third party is “throwing away” one’s
vote. The evidence is on their side, especially in close elections but, for
many conservative Illinois Republicans, their party’s current condition
exactly describes the reason third parties are a permanent feature of
American politics.
Republican conservatives believe party
insiders have traded core Republican standards for permanent public careers.
Legislative leaders appear to be consorting with the other side to attenuate
public debate as they support metastasizing taxes and regulations. Grass
roots Republicans are sickened by a whole cell block’s worth of former
office holders and their retinue of sycophants.
Perhaps it’s time for conservative
Republicans to take a new tactic that will catch the party’s attention but
that will not cause the damage most third parties wreak.
R. Scott Bludorn is a candidate for
state representative in District 53 which encompasses Arlington Heights,
Prospect Heights and Buffalo Grove. Bludorn’s campaign arranged a
fund-raiser last week which managed to attract a mixed crowd of supporters,
the curious and at least three political “names you must know”.
This district is very heavily
Republican and Bludorn’s speech to the crowd was an attractive blend of
liberty and practical, policy proposals. His issues are property taxes,
school choice and governmental abuse.
He spoke at length about the problems
of the Democrat and Republican leadership in the statehouse and in the often
empty governor’s mansion as he laid out an attractive case for limiting
government, fostering family values and improving education. The governing
philosophy he advocates makes sense to Reagan Republicans.
Mr. Bludorn is not a Republican but a
Libertarian. He will be on the November ballot in the 53rd district because
his workers had collected the required number of signatures, more than nine
times the number required by candidates fielded by either of the two
dominant parties. Because there is only token Democrat resistance,
Bludorn and his campaign manager, Greg
Sekowski, believe they can convert enough disappointed Republicans to
overcome Republican incumbent Sid Mathias’s natural advantage and win the
district.
It is almost always better to work for
change from within the party. However, many party leaders have shown us they
are not interested in upholding basic Republican principles and will not
welcome positive change. In the short term, they have put us in the
minority. Over the long term, theirs is a recipe for extinction. It is time
to send a shot over their bow for the same reason the Navy does---to get
their attention without sinking the ship.
The 53rd District contest provides the
opportunity to send a message as clear as one from a five-inch gun. Since
there is no real danger from the Democrats, voting for a Libertarian, this
once, won’t sink the ship. Sending Scott Bludorn to the General Assembly
might just be the wake-up report our party leaders need to remember the
grass roots.
By the way, in 1860, the two
established political parties were the Whig and the Democrat parties. They
nominated and John Bell and Illinois senator Stephen A. Douglas,
respectively. The insurgent Republican Party which had been organized just
six years before nominated Abraham Lincoln.
Honest Abe captured only 39.9% of the
4.7 million votes cast but won election with 59% of the 303 electoral votes.
By 1864, Lincoln’s version of the Republican Party had consolidated the
anti-slavery forces and had completely vanquished the detritus of the Whigs.
The party of John Quincy Adams, Henry Clay and Millard Filmore then
disappeared.
© 2005 IllinoisLeader.com -- all
rights reserved
Ralf Seiffe advises
business start-ups and product launches from Chicago, Illinois and is a
political analyst and columnist for the Illinois Leader.
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